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πŸ“ˆ $AMZN: Up 21.8% YTD, Can It Climb Higher?

Amazon's AWS revenue surges 18.7% YoY to $26.3B as AI fuels growth; stock up 21.8% YTD πŸš€β˜οΈ

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AMZN: AMZN $180.80

This week, we're putting the spotlight on Amazon, the e-commerce and cloud computing behemoth.

Despite recent market volatility, Amazon has shown resilience, with its stock up 21.8% year-to-date. But can it climb even higher?

Let's dive into the key highlights driving Amazon's performance.

AI Ambitions and AWS Growth

Amazon Web Services (AWS) continues to be a powerhouse, contributing significantly to Amazon's overall revenue and profit. AWS sales exceeded expectations in Q2 2024, reaching $26.3 billion, up 18.7% year over year. This acceleration in growth is a positive sign for investors, as AWS remains the top choice for enterprises launching AI-related projects or moving parts of their operations to the cloud.

However, AWS faces stiff competition from Microsoft's Azure and Google Cloud. Both rivals are investing heavily in AI capabilities, which could potentially impact AWS's market share. Amazon's strategy to offer a range of hardware and software choices at different price points, including its own AI training and inference chips (Trainium and Inferentia), could be key in maintaining its competitive edge.

Additional Reading

E-commerce Resilience and Cost-Cutting Measures

Amazon's e-commerce business is showing signs of strength, with the company planning to hire 250,000 transportation and warehouse workers in the U.S. ahead of the holiday shopping season.

To boost efficiency, Amazon is also undertaking a major workforce restructuring. It aims to increase the ratio of individual contributors to managers by at least 15% by Q1 2025. This could lead to the elimination of approximately 13,834 manager roles, potentially saving the company between $2.1 billion and $3.6 billion annually.

Amazon is also working on reducing costs across its fulfillment network through automation and AI. These initiatives could support faster delivery, lower costs, and broader selection – three key factors that can fuel sales growth.

Additional Reading

Advertising Growth and Prime Video Expansion

Amazon's advertising business is on fire, with the company already securing over $1.8 billion in ad revenue for next year, surpassing its own projections.

The company is also expanding its advertising reach by introducing ads on Prime Video. This move could be an ongoing source of advertising and subscription revenue growth. The diversification of revenue streams could provide a cushion against potential slowdowns in e-commerce or cloud computing.

However, the introduction of ads on Prime Video could potentially impact user experience and subscription rates. It will be crucial for Amazon to balance ad revenue with user satisfaction to maintain its strong position in the streaming market.

Additional Reading

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Major Market News

Source: DALL-E

Tuesday, October 8th - NFIB Small Business Optimism Index

  • What: The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for September.

  • Impact: Forecasted to tick up from 91.2 to 91.6, this index gauges small business sentiment, a key economic indicator. Increased optimism suggests a positive outlook, while a dip could signal rising concerns among business owners, affecting broader economic sentiment.

  • Source: National Federation of Independent Business

Wednesday, October 9th - Fed Minutes Release

  • What: The Federal Reserve releases detailed minutes from its September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.

  • Impact: These minutes will provide insights into the Fed's rate decisions and economic outlook. Investors will be watching for clues on future rate paths, with any hint of a shift potentially sparking market volatility.

  • Source: Federal Reserve

Thursday, October 10th - Consumer Price Index (CPI)

  • What: The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Consumer Price Index for September, a key inflation measure.

  • Impact: Forecasted at a 0.1% monthly and 2.3% annual increase, CPI data will influence Fed policy. Higher inflation could reinforce the Fed’s hawkish stance, potentially leading to rate hikes, while lower inflation might ease market concerns, benefiting stocks and bonds.

  • Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Thursday, October 10th - Initial Jobless Claims

  • What: The Department of Labor reports first-time claims for unemployment insurance.

  • Impact: Expected to rise slightly to 230,000 from 225,000, jobless claims reflect labor market health. Higher claims may signal weakening economic conditions, while lower claims suggest resilience, both of which impact Fed policy and market sentiment.

  • Source: Department of Labor

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A note that Underwriter and this newsletter is not investing or trading advice. These are stocks and information we find interesting. Please consult with a financial professional. By reading, you agree to not take this as financial advice and assume all risk. Futures, stocks, bonds trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of profit is made. In fact, you may lose your entire investment. We guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. Reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are the courtesy of Underwriter. The data, quotes and information used in this blog is from publicly available sources and could be outdated or outright wrong - I do not guarantee accuracy of this information.