- Underwriter
- Posts
- 📈$META: $65B AI Bet - The Next Big Win?
📈$META: $65B AI Bet - The Next Big Win?

Meta's stock soars to all-time highs as AI-powered ads hit $20B, WhatsApp bets big on AI chatbots, and Reality Labs bleeds $5B - Will a $65B infrastructure bet send the stock even higher?
Top of the morning!
Featured Stock of the Week
A note that neither Underwriter nor this newsletter provides investing or trading advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions. By reading, you agree to not take this as financial advice and assume all risk.

META: META $717.40
This week we're diving into Meta, which has been on an incredible 14-day winning streak - the longest in company history. While most know Meta for Facebook and Instagram, there's a fascinating AI transformation happening behind the scenes. The company just announced a massive $65 billion spending plan for AI infrastructure, and Wall Street's surprisingly loving it. Let's break down why Meta might be entering its strongest chapter yet.
AI Advertising Revolution
Meta's AI-powered advertising tools are seeing explosive adoption. Their Advantage+ platform, which helps automate ad campaigns, hit a $20 billion annual run rate and saw a stunning 70% year-over-year jump in Q4. But here's the really interesting part - the number of advertisers using Meta's AI tools for ad creation has skyrocketed from 1 million to 4 million in just six months. They've developed a new machine learning system called Andromeda that's boosting ad quality by 8%, directly improving advertiser returns. Meta's user data combined with AI is giving them a huge edge in digital advertising. However, this dominance is also attracting regulatory scrutiny, with U.S. antitrust regulators pursuing a monopoly case that could force changes to Meta's integrated ad platform. |
WhatsApp's AI Evolution
WhatsApp is turning out to be Meta's secret weapon in AI. With 2.7 billion users worldwide, Meta's testing AI-powered chatbots that could transform how businesses use the platform. We're looking at potential revenue of $16.6 billion by 2025, jumping to $45 billion by 2030. While they're currently charging just 2.5 cents per chat, analysts expect this to increase as the AI gets more sophisticated. The early results are promising as these chatbots are going beyond basic customer service. Businesses are starting to use them as sales tools, helping customers find and buy products right through WhatsApp. This could be huge for Meta, but there are real challenges ahead. About 64% of consumers still prefer human customer service, and regulatory concerns about Meta's expanding power in business messaging could slow things down. |
Record-Breaking Performance
Meta's numbers tell a compelling growth story. Their Q4 revenue jumped 21% to $46.8 billion, with annual profits soaring 59% to $62.4 billion. Their core Family of Apps segment achieved an impressive 60% operating margin, up 600 basis points year-over-year. These results are driving significant investment, they're planning $60-65 billion in capital expenditure for 2025, including a massive new data center. But there are important factors to watch. Their dependence on Chinese advertisers has grown to 11% of ad revenue, up from 6% in 2023, just as new tariffs threaten Chinese e-commerce. Reality Labs continues to post losses, with a $5 billion operating deficit. And with Chinese startup DeepSeek demonstrating similar AI capabilities at lower costs, Meta's substantial AI infrastructure spending faces new scrutiny. |
Lesson of the Week
Our lesson of the week covers Price Movement.
Understanding price movements is crucial, as it can help you identify potential opportunities to buy or sell and anticipate where a stock might be headed.
![]() |
A note that Underwriter and this newsletter is not investing or trading advice. These are stocks and information we find interesting. Please consult with a financial professional. By reading, you agree to not take this as financial advice and assume all risk. Futures, stocks, bonds trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of profit is made. In fact, you may lose your entire investment. We guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. Reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are the courtesy of Underwriter. The data, quotes and information used in this blog is from publicly available sources and could be outdated or outright wrong - I do not guarantee accuracy of this information.